Bitcoin’s market situation presents troubling trends familiar to seasoned traders. Current stats report decreasing buyer strength with an unprecedented Bitcoin supply remaining in profit—a historical predictor of large market corrections. Supply in profit is a term referring to Bitcoin in holders’ wallets that possess a greater value than they were acquired for. When the measure reads extremely high, above 85%, it indicates a large number of holders who are in profit and are about to sell. Bitcoin has seen a series of huge boom and bust cycles in its lifetime. During the 2017-2018 cycle, Bitcoin reached nearly $20,000 before plummeting to about $3,200. Its 2021 peak at about $69,000 took a corresponding plunge to below $16,000. These crashes were not coincidental—they were preceded by identifiable warning signs we’re observing for the moment. Buyer strength gauges the vigor and durability of purchasing pressure in the marketplace. Trading volume typically leads the way in price action. Rising price on decreasing volume indicates fewer and fewer participants fueling the advance, and thus, the advance is not sustainable. Past weeks have displayed this same behavior, with price moving up against decreasing trading volumes. Block chain metrics show the true health of Bitcoin’s network through active addresses, transaction volume, network hash rate, and exchange inflow. Current readings are plateauing, regardless of the price levels.
